National League North Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Impact Arena
  • goal Josh Coulson 26'
  • goal Josh Coulson 77'

Alfreton Town vs King's Lynn Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
P'boro Sports 1 - 2 Alfreton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Matt Rhead

King's Lynn Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
King's Lynn 4 - 1 Kettering
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Gold Omotayo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.

Result

Alfreton Town 30.04% (+0.10)
Draw 25.98% (+0.03)
King's Lynn Town 43.99% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.53% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.43% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 51.57% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 26.64% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 73.36% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 12.41% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.59% (+0.05)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.52% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 31.48% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 32.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 67.87% (-0.04)

King's Lynn Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.66% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 23.34% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 42.71% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 57.29% (+0.14)

Score analysis

Alfreton Town 30.04%
Draw 25.97%
King's Lynn Town 43.99%
Alfreton Town
1-0 @ 8.49% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.14% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 30.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.35% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 25.97%
King's Lynn Town
0-1 @ 10.69% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.78% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.77% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 43.99%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 9
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT The Walks
  • Gold Omotayo 11' goal
  • Ben Stephens 45'+1' goal
  • Ben Stephens 90' goal
  • goal Bailey Hobson 53'
  • goal Dominic Smith 60'