National League North | Gameweek 43

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Impact Arena

Alfreton
0 - 2
King's Lynn

FT(HT: 0-1)

Coulson (26', 77')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and King's Lynn Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-2 Alfreton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

King's Lynn Town

All competitions

Last Game: King's Lynn 4-1 Kettering
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.

Result
Alfreton Town	Draw	King's Lynn Town
30.04% ( 0.09)	25.98% ( 0.03)	43.99% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 52.53% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.43% (

-0.07)

51.57% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.64% (

-0.06)

73.36% (

0.07)

Alfreton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

0.03)

31.48% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.13% (

0.04)

67.87% (

-0.03)

King's Lynn Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

-0.09)

23.34% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71% (

-0.13)

57.29% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Alfreton Town 30.04%

King's Lynn Town 43.99%

Draw 25.97%

Alfreton Town	Draw	King's Lynn Town
1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 43.99%