Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.