Chorley
National League North | Gameweek 41
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
King's Lynn

Chorley
0 - 1
King's Lynn

FT(HT: 0-0)
Omotayo (89')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and King's Lynn Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North

King's Lynn Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 0-1 King's Lynn
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for King's Lynn Town in this match.

Result
ChorleyDrawKing's Lynn Town
35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)27.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)37.97% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.48% (0.014999999999993 0.01)54.52% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (0.012999999999998 0.01)75.87% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.36% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)29.63% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)65.68% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
King's Lynn Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (0.028000000000006 0.03)27.84% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (0.036999999999999 0.04)63.44% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Chorley 34.99%
    King's Lynn Town 37.97%
    Draw 27.02%
ChorleyDrawKing's Lynn Town
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.8% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.47% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 12.83%
0-0 @ 8.25% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.74% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 37.97%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
King's Lynn
2-0
Chorley
Ponticelli (45'), Crowther (71')