Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Kettering Town	Draw	Chorley
33.95% ( 0.18)	28.17% ( -0.01)	37.88% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 47.17% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.03% (

0.05)

58.97% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.56% (

0.04)

79.44% (

-0.04)

Kettering Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

0.15)

32.56% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

0.16)

69.1% (

-0.16)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94% (

-0.08)

30.06% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81% (

-0.09)

66.19% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Kettering Town 33.95%

Chorley 37.88%

Draw 28.17%

Kettering Town	Draw	Chorley
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.95%	1-1 @ 13.2% 0-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.17%	0-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.88%