National League North | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
1 - 0
Kettering

Thompson-Sommers (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Kettering Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Hereford 1-2 Chester
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Kettering Town

All competitions
Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 20.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawKettering Town
55.94% (-0.145 -0.15)23.9% (0.013999999999999 0.01)20.16% (0.128 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.21% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.81% (0.097000000000001 0.1)51.19% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.97% (0.085999999999999 0.09)73.03% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)18.14% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.88% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)49.11% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Kettering Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.12% (0.191 0.19)39.87% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (0.175 0.18)76.54% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 55.92%
    Kettering Town 20.16%
    Draw 23.9%
Hereford UnitedDrawKettering Town
1-0 @ 12.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 10.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 55.92%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.45% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 20.16%

Head to Head
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Kettering
2-0
Hereford
Stohrer (31'), Lewthwaite (52')
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
Kettering
1-1
Hereford
Sharpe (29')
Storey (25')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Hereford
3-0
Kettering
Owen-Evans (26', 54'), Gordon (48')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Kettering
0-0
Hereford
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Hereford
3-3
Kettering
Mooney (34'), Hodgkiss (57'), John-Lewis (81' pen.)
Kelly (47'), Powell (54'), Sheriff (62')
McGrath (71')