Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.