National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium
Curzon Ashton2 - 1Chorley
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Banbury 0-0 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
48
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 Banbury
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
Result | ||
Curzon Ashton | Draw | Chorley |
44.02% | 25.3% | 30.68% |
Both teams to score 55.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.55% | 48.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.42% | 70.57% |
Curzon Ashton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% | 21.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.72% | 55.28% |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.55% | 29.44% |