Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.