National League North | Gameweek 28
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 2
Brackley Town

Morgan-Smith (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Smart (11'), Stead (84')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-2 Kidderminster
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 52.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Brackley Town had a probability of 22.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Brackley Town win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawBrackley Town
52.4% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)25.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.05% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.62% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)55.38% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)76.58% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)21.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.96% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)54.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)40.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.07% (0.012 0.01)76.93% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 52.39%
    Brackley Town 22.05%
    Draw 25.54%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 13.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 2.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.39%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 22.05%

Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Brackley Town
2-0
Kidderminster
York (7'), Armson (67')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Brackley Town
1-0
Kidderminster
Ndlovu (78')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Kidderminster
0-2
Brackley Town
Richards (9'), Yusuf (44')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Kidderminster
P-P
Brackley Town
Nov 17, 2020 7.45pm
Brackley Town
0-2
Kidderminster
Morgan-Smith (5'), Austin (32')