Alfreton Town
National League North
May 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
North Street

Alfreton
0 - 1
Kidderminster

FT(HT: 0-1)
Morgan-Smith (1')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Alfreton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions
Last Game: Kidderminster 3-0 Kettering
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawKidderminster Harriers
30.56%28.03%41.4%
Both teams to score 46.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.82%59.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39%79.61%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.93%35.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.18%71.82%
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.87%28.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.19%63.81%
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 30.56%
    Kidderminster Harriers 41.4%
    Draw 28.03%
Alfreton TownDrawKidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 6.87%
2-0 @ 5.42%
3-1 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.89%
3-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 30.56%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.03%
0-1 @ 12.51%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.94%
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.4%

How you voted: 5th position vs 6th position

5th position
33.3%
Draw
50.0%
6th position
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
gameweek 40
Kidderminster
0-0
Alfreton
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Alfreton
1-1
Kidderminster
Rhead (86')
Butterfield (43')
Bearne (21')
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 27
Kidderminster
0-1
Alfreton
Rhead (74')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Alfreton
1-4
Kidderminster
Branson (43')
Austin (9', 36'), Sterling-James (40'), Morgan-Smith (53')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
gameweek 26
Alfreton
P-P
Kidderminster