National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Alfreton Town

Brackley Town
1 - 1
Alfreton

Bates (17')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Salam (45')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 3-0 Alfreton
Wednesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
54.64% (3.268 3.27)24.6% (-0.889 -0.89)20.76% (-2.375 -2.38)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.408 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (0.992 0.99)53.2% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (0.835 0.84)74.77% (-0.83199999999999 -0.83)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (1.717 1.72)19.4% (-1.715 -1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.78% (2.741 2.74)51.22% (-2.739 -2.74)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-1.811 -1.81)40.4% (1.815 1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-1.685 -1.69)77.02% (1.688 1.69)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 54.63%
    Alfreton Town 20.76%
    Draw 24.6%
Brackley TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.85% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.679 0.68)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.76% (0.654 0.65)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.358 0.36)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.376 0.38)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.25 0.25)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.311 -0.31)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.6%
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.655 -0.65)
1-2 @ 5.28% (-0.466 -0.47)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.475 -0.48)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 20.76%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
gameweek 10
Alfreton
1-0
Brackley Town
Rhead (26' pen.)
Mar 22, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 11
Brackley Town
1-0
Alfreton
Ndlovu (55')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
gameweek 33
Alfreton
0-1
Brackley Town
Lowe (48')
Yusuf (58')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
gameweek 27
Brackley Town
0-0
Alfreton
Nov 10, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 7
Alfreton
0-2
Brackley Town
Mitford (41'), Byrne (70')