Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.