National League North | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
3 - 1
Darlington

Williams (11', 44'), Atkinson (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Purver (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farsley Celtic

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 2-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farsley Celtic win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farsley Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farsley Celtic would win this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawDarlington
38.82% (0.07 0.07)24.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)36.34% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Both teams to score 58.31% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)44.93% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.71% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)67.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (0.027000000000001 0.03)22.98% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)56.77% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)24.29% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.33% (-0.07 -0.07)58.67% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 38.82%
    Darlington 36.34%
    Draw 24.83%
Farsley CelticDrawDarlington
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.09% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 38.82%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 36.34%

How you voted: Farsley Celtic vs Darlington

Farsley Celtic
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Darlington
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Darlington
1-0
Farsley Celtic
Lambert (81')
May 2, 2022 3pm
Darlington
1-1
Farsley Celtic
O'Neill (19')
Digie (45+1')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Farsley Celtic
0-6
Darlington
Lambert (24', 29', 42'), Rivers (52'), O'Neill (72'), Santos (76')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Darlington
0-0
Farsley Celtic
Jan 12, 2021 7.45pm
Farsley Celtic
1-0
Darlington
Clayton (52')