National League North | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows
Darlington3 - 0Hereford
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Hereford United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fylde 3-2 Darlington
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
63
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
Result | ||
Darlington | Draw | Hereford United |
47.09% ( 0.27) | 25.11% ( -0.01) | 27.79% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 53.86% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.82% ( -0.14) | 49.18% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% ( -0.13) | 71.24% ( 0.12) |
Darlington Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( 0.06) | 20.91% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.37% ( 0.1) | 53.63% ( -0.1) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.09% ( -0.28) | 31.9% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.65% ( -0.32) | 68.35% ( 0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Darlington 47.09%
Hereford United 27.79%
Draw 25.11%
Darlington | Draw | Hereford United |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 47.09% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.79% |
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-16 01:16:35
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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