Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 15.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.