National League North | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
1 - 2
Telford

Woods (38' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moore (59' pen.), Gibson (68')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and AFC Telford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North

AFC Telford United

All competitions
Last Game: Telford 0-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 15.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawAFC Telford United
62.06% (0.086000000000006 0.09)22.12% (-0.044 -0.04)15.81% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 46.64% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.53% (0.104 0.1)50.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (0.091000000000001 0.09)72.39% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (0.063000000000002 0.06)15.74% (-0.065 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.15% (0.11900000000001 0.12)44.85% (-0.121 -0.12)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.36% (0.0049999999999955 0)44.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.65% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 62.06%
    AFC Telford United 15.81%
    Draw 22.12%
Brackley TownDrawAFC Telford United
1-0 @ 12.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 7.4% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.42% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 62.06%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.12%
0-1 @ 5.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 15.81%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Telford
0-1
Brackley Town

Bood (55')
York (68')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Brackley Town
2-1
Telford
Gordon (13'), Lowe (18')
Green (29')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Telford
0-2
Brackley Town

Lilley (61')
Lowe (5'), Ndlovu (70')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Brackley Town
P-P
Telford
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Telford
3-0
Brackley Town
Williams (52' pen.), Oswell (85'), Hardy (89')