National League North | Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground
Bradford Park Avenue

Telford
4 - 0
Bradford Park Av

Cameron (4'), Williams (38'), Gibson (45+1', 49' pen.)
FT(HT: 3-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Telford
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North

Bradford Park Avenue

All competitions
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Telford United would win this match.

Result
AFC Telford UnitedDrawBradford Park Avenue
48.04% (-0.268 -0.27)25.23% (0.406 0.41)26.72% (-0.139 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.65% (-1.405 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-1.792 -1.79)50.37% (1.791 1.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (-1.61 -1.61)72.31% (1.609 1.61)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01% (-0.837 -0.84)20.99% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.25% (-1.326 -1.33)53.75% (1.326 1.33)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (-1.062 -1.06)33.37% (1.062 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (-1.18 -1.18)69.99% (1.18 1.18)
Score Analysis
    AFC Telford United 48.04%
    Bradford Park Avenue 26.72%
    Draw 25.23%
AFC Telford UnitedDrawBradford Park Avenue
1-0 @ 10.93% (0.51 0.51)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.182 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.88% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.172 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.116 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.04%
1-1 @ 12% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7% (0.493 0.49)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.331 0.33)
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 26.72%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2022 7.45pm
Bradford Park Av
1-0
Telford
Preston (33')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Telford
3-0
Bradford Park Av
Daniels (40'), Oswell (59'), Goodridge (88')

Mottley-Henry (7')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Bradford Park Av
3-2
Telford
Richman (54'), Dockerty (61'), Nowakowski (72')
McHale (33'), Oswell (47')
Shotton (83')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Telford
0-0
Bradford Park Av
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Bradford Park Av
1-2
Telford
Knight (68')
McHale (26', 47')
Bond (10'), McHale (29')
Bond (53')