Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
2 - 3
Darlington

Day (49'), Thewlis (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nelson (17'), Barnes (66', 72')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tamworth 0-1 Alfreton
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North

Darlington

All competitions
Last Game: Darlington 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
42.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)25.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)31.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)48.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.41% (0.0010000000000012 0)70.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5%22.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.94% (0.0010000000000048 0)56.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)64.63% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 42.93%
    Darlington 31.67%
    Draw 25.39%
Alfreton TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 9.66%
2-1 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 4.46%
3-0 @ 3.58%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.66%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.93%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.67%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Alfreton
2-2
Darlington
Rhead (45'), Ceesay (72')
Hazel (5'), Felix (17')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Darlington
3-1
Alfreton
Leesley (22'), Hazel (25'), Felix (90+12')
Lawlor (85' og.)
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Alfreton
0-0
Darlington
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Darlington
2-3
Alfreton
Hatfield (59', 84' pen.)
Lund (27'), Allan (36'), Southwell (52')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 31
Darlington
0-0
Alfreton