Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe United	Draw	Darlington
46.02% ( 8.73)	25.81% ( -0.36)	28.18% ( -8.37)

Both teams to score 51.96% (

-1.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.21% (

-0.91)

51.8% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.44% (

-0.8)

73.56% (

0.81)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

4.04)

22.48% (

-4.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97% (

5.69)

56.04% (

-5.68)

Darlington Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-6.03)

32.98% (

6.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-7.28)

69.56% (

7.29)

Score Analysis

Scunthorpe United 46.01%

Darlington 28.18%

Draw 25.8%

Scunthorpe United	Draw	Darlington
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 1.58) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.91) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 1.96) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0.91) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 1.32) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.49) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.61) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.01%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.8%	0-1 @ 8.22% ( -1.15) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -1.35) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -1.58) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -1.05) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.49) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -1) Other @ 2.5% Total : 28.18%