Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Southend United |
24.82% ( -0.2) | 25.36% ( 0) | 49.83% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( -0.16) | 52.27% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( -0.14) | 73.97% ( 0.14) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.01% ( -0.26) | 35.99% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.23% ( -0.27) | 72.77% ( 0.27) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.01% ( 0.02) | 20.99% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.24% ( 0.03) | 53.77% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Scunthorpe United | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 7.72% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 24.82% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 49.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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