National League Gameweek 28
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Boundary Park
  • Alex Reid 42' goal
  • Ellis Chapman 76' goal

Oldham Athletic vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Oldham 1 - 0 Maidenhead
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Mike Fondop

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
Southend 2 - 0 Dag & Red
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jack Bridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result

Oldham Athletic 37.13% (-0.32)
Draw 26.88% (-0.02)
Southend United 35.99% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.29% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.11% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 53.89% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 24.65% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 75.35% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 11.14% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.86% (-0.04)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.96% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 28.04% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 36.3% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 63.7% (+0.21)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 71.28% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 28.72% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 35.45% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 64.55% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Oldham Athletic 37.13%
Draw 26.88%
Southend United 35.98%
Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.51% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 37.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.05% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.88%
Southend United
0-1 @ 10.04% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.97% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.27% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.31% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.61% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.98%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 4
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Dan Mooney 29' goal
League Two Gameweek 34
Mar 6, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Boundary Park
  • yellowcard Jason Demetriou 88'
League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2020 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Tom Clifford 76' goal
  • goal Bobby Grant 49'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 74'
  • goal Zachary Dearnley 89'
  • yellowcard Harry Clarke 90'+4'
League One
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eoin Doyle 84' yellowcard
  • Jack Byrne 85' yellowcard
  • goal Theo Robinson 5'
  • goal Simon Cox 52'
  • goal Simon Cox 56'
  • yellowcard Jason Demetriou 71'
League One
Dec 2, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jason Demetriou 17' goal
  • Jason Demetriou 40' yellowcard
  • Josh Wright 54' goal
  • Stephen McLaughlin 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eoin Doyle 90'
League One
Apr 1, 2017 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony Wordsworth 21' yellowcard
  • Simon Cox 44' yellowcard
  • Ben Coker 69' yellowcard
  • Ryan Leonard 70' redcard
  • Nile Ranger 75' goal
  • Theo Robinson 78' goal
  • Anthony Wordsworth 96' goal
  • yellowcard Ollie Banks 63'
  • yellowcard Paul Green 69'
  • yellowcard Ryan McLaughlin 78'
  • yellowcard Connor Ripley 95'