National League | Gameweek 28

Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Boundary Park

Oldham
2 - 0
Southend

Reid (42'), Chapman (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 2-0 Dag & Red
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham Athletic	Draw	Southend United
37.13% ( -0.32)	26.88% ( -0.01)	35.99% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 51.29% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.11% (

0.06)

53.89% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.65% (

0.05)

75.35% (

-0.05)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96% (

-0.16)

28.04% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.3% (

-0.2)

63.7% (

0.2)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

0.23)

28.72% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

0.29)

64.55% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Oldham Athletic 37.13%

Southend United 35.98%

Draw 26.88%

Oldham Athletic	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.13%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.98%