Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.