National League | Gameweek 32

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadowbank

Dorking
1 - 0
Southend

Bowerman (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 3-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Southend United
25.28% ( 2.81)	23.19% ( 1.09)	51.52% ( -3.9)

Both teams to score 58% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3% (

-2.05)

42.69% (

2.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9% (

-2.07)

65.1% (

2.07)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.57% (

1.23)

30.42% (

-1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.37% (

1.43)

66.63% (

-1.44)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.36% (

-2.06)

16.64% (

2.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.52% (

-3.83)

46.48% (

3.82)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 25.28%

Southend United 51.52%

Draw 23.19%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Southend United
2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.53) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.99% Total : 25.28%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.19%	1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.41) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.52) 0-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.62) 2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.44) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.46) 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.2) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.24) Other @ 3.25% Total : 51.52%