Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.