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National League | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Meadowbank
Scunthorpe United

Dorking
2 - 1
Scunthorpe

Seager (29', 61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Elliott (82')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 2-2 Dorking
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-3 Southend
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawScunthorpe United
46.47% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)22.77% (0.02 0.02)30.76% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 63.99% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.27% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)36.73% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.11% (-0.052 -0.05)58.89% (0.058 0.06)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.75% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)16.25% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.22% (-0.101 -0.1)45.78% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.41% (0.025000000000006 0.03)23.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04)57.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 46.47%
    Scunthorpe United 30.76%
    Draw 22.77%
Dorking WanderersDrawScunthorpe United
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.97% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 10.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.6%
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.76%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Scunthorpe
3-2
Dorking
Lavery (51'), Butterfield (69'), Taft (84')
O'Malley (29')
Seager (11'), McManus (33')