National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Meadowbank

Dorking
3 - 2
Altrincham

Muitt (13'), Ottaway (60'), Prior (71')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Linney (5'), Oyedele (8')

Coverage of the National League clash between Dorking Wanderers and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Yeovil 0-1 Dorking
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 0-1 Gateshead
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Altrincham
43.61% ( 0.05)	22.88% ( 0.01)	33.51% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 64.93% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.96% (

-0.06)

36.04% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.86% (

-0.06)

58.14% (

0.06)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.93% (

-0.01)

17.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.75% (

-0.01)

47.25% (

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

-0.06)

21.71% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.14% (

-0.09)

54.86% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Dorking Wanderers 43.61%

Altrincham 33.51%

Draw 22.87%

Dorking Wanderers	Draw	Altrincham
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 4.26% Total : 43.61%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.55% Total : 33.51%