National League North | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
1 - 3
Curzon Ashton

Lees (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Barton (15'), Waring (65'), Hayhurst (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
DarlingtonDrawCurzon Ashton
36.45% (-1.766 -1.77)27.48% (0.683 0.68)36.07% (1.08 1.08)
Both teams to score 49.41% (-2.093 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.74% (-2.665 -2.67)56.25% (2.66 2.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.7% (-2.2 -2.2)77.29% (2.196 2.2)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.41% (-2.327 -2.33)29.59% (2.323 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.37% (-2.925 -2.93)65.63% (2.921 2.92)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.636 -0.64)29.82% (0.631 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (-0.775 -0.77)65.9% (0.77 0.77)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 36.44%
    Curzon Ashton 36.07%
    Draw 27.47%
DarlingtonDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.74% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.359 -0.36)
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.371 -0.37)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.263 -0.26)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.44%
1-1 @ 13% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 8.83% (0.866 0.87)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.306 -0.31)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.869 0.87)
1-2 @ 7.87% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.46% (0.425 0.43)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.128 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.07%

Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Darlington
0-2
Curzon Ashton
Hayhurst (24', 73')
Dec 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Curzon Ashton
0-2
Darlington
Hazel (76'), Lambert (79')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Darlington
0-2
Curzon Ashton
Richards (34'), Poscha (65')
Aug 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Curzon Ashton
2-1
Darlington
Knowles (31', 41')
Whitham (68')
Cassidy (19')
Apr 17, 2021 3pm