MX23RW : Sunday, October 27 07:02:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Alfreton Town

Tamworth
0 - 1
Alfreton

FT(HT: 0-0)
Thewlis (51')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boston 0-2 Tamworth
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
TamworthDrawAlfreton Town
51.47% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.41% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 23.12% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)53.89% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)75.35% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)53.71% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)38.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.18% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Tamworth 51.47%
    Alfreton Town 23.12%
    Draw 25.4%
TamworthDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 12.58%
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43%
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.12%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Chorley1475224141026
2Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton138231910926
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe137422181325
4Hereford UnitedHereford146622112924
5King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn137331612424
6Alfreton TownAlfreton136521811723
7Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster136341810821
8SouthportSouthport146352126-521
9Leamington FCLeamington135531811720
10Brackley Town136251512320
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor135442014619
12Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath135441816219
13Chester FCChester135441415-119
14Buxton136072015518
15Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic135261617-117
16Warrington Town144551719-217
17South Shields145181422-816
18Darlington133641214-215
19Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports134271017-714
20Oxford CityOxford City133461927-813
21RadcliffeRadcliffe132471626-1010
22Rushall Olympic133191424-1010
23Marine AFC13247415-1110
24Needham Market1431101028-1810


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