Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena

Alfreton
3 - 1
Southport

Salmon (1', 17'), Thewlis (74')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Quansah (34')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alfreton Town

All competitions
Last Game: South Shields 3-1 Alfreton
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Southport 0-4 Warrington Town
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawSouthport
27.22% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)24.66%48.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)47.61% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)31.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (0.009999999999998 0.01)67.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.84% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.08% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.92% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 27.22%
    Southport 48.12%
    Draw 24.65%
Alfreton TownDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 7.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 27.22%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 10.11%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-2 @ 8.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.12%

Head to Head
Mar 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Southport
0-0
Alfreton
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Alfreton
4-0
Southport
Hobson (32'), Southwell (40', 67'), Preston (45+1')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Alfreton
2-2
Southport
Rhead (50'), Southwell (64')
Vassallo (24'), Munro (29')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Southport
2-0
Alfreton
Woods (23', 55')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Alfreton
0-0
Southport