Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Southport	Draw	Chester FC
29.58% ( 0.06)	27.02% ( 0.06)	43.39% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 49.12% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.15% (

-0.2)

55.85% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.03% (

-0.17)

76.97% (

0.17)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0.06)

34.04% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0.07)

70.72% (

0.07)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

-0.15)

25.53% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

-0.21)

60.38% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Southport 29.58%

Chester FC 43.39%

Draw 27.02%

Southport	Draw	Chester FC
1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.58%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.02%	0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.39%