Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.