Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.