National League North | Gameweek 34
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 3
Spennymoor

Doyle (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Taylor (36'), Blackett (60', 69')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Spennymoor Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Southport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 4-2 Kettering
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
SouthportDrawSpennymoor Town
42.35% (-0.638 -0.64)25.48% (0.264 0.26)32.17% (0.373 0.37)
Both teams to score 55.09% (-0.741 -0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-1.026 -1.03)48.67% (1.024 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.21% (-0.94 -0.94)70.79% (0.938 0.94)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.12% (-0.748 -0.75)22.87% (0.745 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38% (-1.114 -1.11)56.61% (1.111 1.11)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.265 -0.27)28.57% (0.263 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.64% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)64.36% (0.33199999999999 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Southport 42.35%
    Spennymoor Town 32.17%
    Draw 25.47%
SouthportDrawSpennymoor Town
1-0 @ 9.64% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.38% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.5% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 42.35%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 8.19% (0.282 0.28)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.14% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 32.17%

How you voted: Southport vs Spennymoor

Southport
40.0%
Draw
40.0%
Spennymoor Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Spennymoor
3-2
Southport
Abbott (33', 41'), Ramshaw (80')
Hmami (16'), Carver (45+3')
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Nov 14, 2020 3pm