Alfreton Town
National League North | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Impact Arena
Scunthorpe United

Alfreton
2 - 2
Scunthorpe

Riley (37'), Clackstone (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Whitehall (31'), Elliott (42')
Scales (6')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Alfreton Town and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Alfreton
Monday, August 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Scarborough Ath
Monday, August 28 at 1pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 48.76%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Alfreton TownDrawScunthorpe United
26.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01)25.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.76% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.86% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (-0.012 -0.01)49.89% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (-0.012 -0.01)71.88% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)33.52% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.012 -0.01)20.48% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.04% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)52.96% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alfreton Town 26.21%
    Scunthorpe United 48.76%
    Draw 25.02%
Alfreton TownDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 26.21%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.02%
0-1 @ 10.88%
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 8.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 48.76%