Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.

Result
Scunthorpe United	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
49.23% ( -0.05)	25.06% ( 0.08)	25.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.33% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.62% (

-0.32)

50.37% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.68% (

-0.29)

72.31% (

0.29)

Scunthorpe United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.52% (

-0.15)

20.48% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.04% (

-0.24)

52.96% (

0.24)

Scarborough Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.81% (

-0.19)

34.19% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.12% (

-0.21)

70.88% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Scunthorpe United 49.22%

Scarborough Athletic 25.72%

Draw 25.05%

Scunthorpe United	Draw	Scarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 11.1% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.72%