Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Scunthorpe United would win this match.