National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Flamingo Land Stadium

Scarborough Ath
1 - 0
Chester

Maloney (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Burke (90+6')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Scarborough Athletic and Chester FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: South Shields 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-0 Chester
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.7%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Scarborough AthleticDrawChester FC
29.86% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)26.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)43.7% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.99% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (0.085999999999999 0.09)53.52% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (0.071999999999999 0.07)75.03% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)32.62% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.84% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)69.16% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.098000000000013 0.1)24.33% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.28% (0.138 0.14)58.72% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Scarborough Athletic 29.86%
    Chester FC 43.69%
    Draw 26.44%
Scarborough AthleticDrawChester FC
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.98% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.93% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.19% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.48% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 43.69%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Chester
2-2
Scarborough Ath
Willoughby (14'), Caton (87')
Weledji (76'), Thornton (90+3')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Scarborough Ath
1-3
Chester
R (68')
Hall (50'), Caton (62'), Willoughby (90')