National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
4 - 0
Buxton

Dudley (20'), Whitehouse (28'), Caton (74'), N'Mai (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
Last Game: Kettering 0-1 Chester
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North

Buxton

All competitions
Last Game: Buxton 3-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawBuxton
38.97% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)26.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)35.01% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 54.04% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.64% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)50.36% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)72.3% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)25.35% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (-0.154 -0.15)60.14% (0.155 0.16)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (0.073000000000008 0.07)27.61% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (0.094999999999999 0.09)63.14% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 38.97%
    Buxton 35.01%
    Draw 26.02%
Chester FCDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.97%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.8% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
gameweek 10
Buxton
0-0
Chester