National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
  • Anthony Dudley 20' goal
  • Elliott Whitehouse 28' goal
  • Charlie Caton 74' goal
  • Kelly N'Mai 81' goal

Chester FC vs Buxton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chester FC

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Kettering 0 - 1 Chester
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Kurt Willoughby

Buxton

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Buxton 3 - 1 Brackley Town
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Diego De Girolamo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result

Chester FC 38.97% (-0.18)
Draw 26.02% (+0.02)
Buxton 35.01% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.04% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.64% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 50.36% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 27.69% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.3% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.11% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.89% (+0.03)

Chester FC Goals

Over 0.5 74.65% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 25.35% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 39.86% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 60.14% (+0.16)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5 72.39% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 27.61% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 36.85% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.14% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Chester FC 38.97%
Draw 26.02%
Buxton 35.01%
Chester FC
1-0 @ 9.61% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
Buxton
0-1 @ 9.01% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 7.96% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.8% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.34% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 35.01%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Silverlands