National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
2 - 2
Farsley Celtic

Thomas (40'), Weeks (50')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Clayton (4', 22')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Farsley Celtic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 1-2 Chester
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Boston 4-0 Farsley Celtic
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawFarsley Celtic
65.82% (0.031999999999996 0.03)19.89% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)14.29% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.03% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.01% (0.030000000000001 0.03)43.99% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.63% (0.028999999999996 0.03)66.37% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.48% (0.019000000000005 0.02)12.52% (-0.019 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.46% (0.036999999999999 0.04)38.54% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)42.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)79.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 65.81%
    Farsley Celtic 14.29%
    Draw 19.89%
Chester FCDrawFarsley Celtic
2-0 @ 11.56%
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 4.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.73% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 65.81%
1-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 19.89%
0-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 1.93% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.18%
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 14.29%

Head to Head
Nov 22, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Farsley Celtic
2-2
Chester
Walton (5'), Clayton (27')
Waring (42', 68')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Farsley Celtic
2-2
Chester
Hayhurst (8'), Spencer (27')
Glendon (5'), Lacey (38')