Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chester FC in this match.