National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
New Bucks Head Ground

Telford
1 - 1
Scarborough Ath

Gibson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tear (73')
Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions
Last Game: Kidderminster 3-0 Telford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Scarborough Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-1 Buxton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC Telford UnitedDrawScarborough Athletic
28.51% (1.549 1.55)24.56% (0.674 0.67)46.93% (-2.223 -2.22)
Both teams to score 56.19% (-1.051 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.65% (-1.934 -1.93)46.35% (1.933 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.36% (-1.848 -1.85)68.63% (1.846 1.85)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (0.139 0.14)29.9% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (0.169 0.17)66% (-0.169 -0.17)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.16% (-1.66 -1.66)19.83% (1.659 1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.08% (-2.757 -2.76)51.92% (2.756 2.76)
Score Analysis
    AFC Telford United 28.51%
    Scarborough Athletic 46.93%
    Draw 24.56%
AFC Telford UnitedDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 7.16% (0.594 0.59)
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.374 0.37)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.74% (0.156 0.16)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.51%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.39 0.39)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 7.76% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 5.05% (-0.373 -0.37)
0-3 @ 4.19% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.04% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.23% (-0.157 -0.16)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 46.93%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 14
Scarborough Ath
1-0
Telford
Burton (9')