National League North | Gameweek 43

Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK

New Bucks Head Ground

Telford
0 - 4
Gloucester City

FT(HT: 0-3)

Spence (1', 39', 45'), Hooper (70')

Coverage of the National League North clash between AFC Telford United and Gloucester City.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Telford United

All competitions

Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Gloucester City

All competitions

Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Banbury
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
AFC Telford United	Draw	Gloucester City
42.37% ( -1)	25.25% ( 0.16)	32.39% ( 0.84)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.42% (

-0.41)

47.58% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.21% (

-0.38)

69.78% (

0.38)

AFC Telford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.61% (

-0.65)

22.39% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.1% (

-0.98)

55.9% (

0.98)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.34)

27.89% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

0.43)

63.5% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

AFC Telford United 42.37%

Gloucester City 32.39%

Draw 25.24%

AFC Telford United	Draw	Gloucester City
1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.37%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.24%	0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.39%