National League North | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
Chorley

Chester
0 - 0
Chorley

FT
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chester 3-0 King's Lynn
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Chester FCDrawChorley
39.93% (0.428 0.43)26.28% (0.282 0.28)33.78% (-0.713 -0.71)
Both teams to score 52.93% (-1.078 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.32% (-1.314 -1.31)51.68% (1.312 1.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.54% (-1.155 -1.16)73.46% (1.152 1.15)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55% (-0.372 -0.37)25.44% (0.37 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.508 -0.51)60.26% (0.506 0.51)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (-1.086 -1.09)29.01% (1.083 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (-1.365 -1.37)64.91% (1.362 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 39.93%
    Chorley 33.78%
    Draw 26.28%
Chester FCDrawChorley
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.415 0.41)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.91% (0.214 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.065 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.93%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.379 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 9.13% (0.202 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.78%

Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Chester
0-0
Chorley
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chorley
2-2
Chester
Hall (51'), Sampson (87')
Thomas (16'), Stephenson (76')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Chester
1-2
Chorley
Dackers (89' pen.)
Sampson (2', 27')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Chorley
4-1
Chester
Cardwell (8', 36'), Shenton (21'), Leather (51')
Cowan (45')
Glendon (80')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Chorley
P-P
Chester