Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.