National League North | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
Gloucester City4 - 3Chorley
Dada (29'), Barnes-Homer (74', 88'), Obadeyi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gloucester City and Chorley.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
71
Last Game: Chorley 1-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Chorley |
38.8% ( -0.22) | 25.75% ( 0.05) | 35.44% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
