National League North Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT The Spiers & Hartwell Jubilee Stadium
  • Dara Dada 29' goal
  • Matthew Barnes-Homer 74' goal
  • Matthew Barnes-Homer 88' goal
  • Tope Obadeyi 90'+3' goal
  • goal Marco Rus 45'+2'
  • goal Mike Calveley 53'
  • goal Billy Whitehouse 71'

Gloucester City vs Chorley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gloucester City

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Farsley Celtic 2 - 1 Gloucester City
Goals scored
77
Top scorer
Kieran Phillips

Chorley

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
Chorley 1 - 0 P'boro Sports
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Connor Hall

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.

Result

Gloucester City 38.8% (-0.23)
Draw 25.75% (+0.05)
Chorley 35.44% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.99% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.83% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 49.16% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 28.77% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 71.23% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 13.83% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 86.17% (+0.11)

Gloucester City Goals

Over 0.5 75.1% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 24.89% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 40.49% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 59.51% (+0.29)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 73.22% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 26.78% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.94% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.06% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Gloucester City 38.8%
Draw 25.75%
Chorley 35.44%
Gloucester City
1-0 @ 9.27% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.99% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 38.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.67% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.75%
Chorley
0-1 @ 8.78% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.05% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.79% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.53% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.44%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Ollie Shenton 51' goal
  • Billy Whitehouse 53' goal
  • Connor Hall 70' goal
National League North Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Fabien Robert 90'+3' goal
  • goal Brad Holmes 65'
National League North Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 3.00pm
9
0
HT : 4 0
FT
  • Harry Cardwell 8' goal
  • Mike Calveley 18' goal
  • Connor Hall 31' goal
  • Berat Jonathan Ustabasi 45' goal
  • Lewis Baines 53' goal
  • Connor Hall 61' goal
  • Ollie Shenton 70' goal
  • Adam Blakeman 72' goal
  • Millenic Alli 76' goal
  • redcard Fabien Robert 19'
National League North Gameweek 23
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Gold Omotayo 26' goal
  • goal Elliot Newby 70'
National League North Gameweek 2
Oct 10, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • Elliot Newby 52' goal
  • goal Matt McClure 11'
  • goal Gavin Gunning 66'