Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farsley Celtic win with a probability of 41.65%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farsley Celtic would win this match.