National League North | Gameweek 13
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Throstle Nest

Farsley Celtic
1 - 4
Brackley Town

Branson (62')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Turner (1', 5'), Newton (17'), Lyttle (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-2 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawBrackley Town
26.87% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)26.42% (0.004999999999999 0)46.71% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 49.2% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)54.93% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.78% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)76.22% (0.01700000000001 0.02)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.31% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)35.69% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.53% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)72.46% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.012 -0.01)23.5% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)57.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 26.87%
    Brackley Town 46.71%
    Draw 26.41%
Farsley CelticDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 8.64% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.45% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 8.39% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 12.14%
1-2 @ 9.06% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 8.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 46.71%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Farsley Celtic
2-1
Brackley Town
Williams (11'), Mulhern (58')
Murombedzi (45+1')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Brackley Town
0-3
Farsley Celtic

Murombedzi (5')
Spencer (45', 64'), Scales (83')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 24
Brackley Town
3-2
Farsley Celtic
Lowe (39', 56'), Armson (51')
Clayton (85'), Atkinson (89')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
May 22, 2021 3pm