National League North | Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
0 - 2
Curzon Ashton

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mahon (4' pen.), Spencer (28')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Chorley
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Brackley TownDrawCurzon Ashton
45.84% (-1.581 -1.58)26.17% (0.161 0.16)27.99% (1.419 1.42)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.549 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (0.214 0.21)53.34% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.181 0.18)74.88% (-0.182 -0.18)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (-0.637 -0.64)23.22% (0.637 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.88% (-0.943 -0.94)57.12% (0.941 0.94)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.06% (1.252 1.25)33.94% (-1.253 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.38% (1.331 1.33)70.61% (-1.334 -1.33)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 45.84%
    Curzon Ashton 27.99%
    Draw 26.16%
Brackley TownDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.397 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.84%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.216 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.267 0.27)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.148 0.15)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 27.99%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Curzon Ashton
3-1
Brackley Town
Spencer (14'), Campbell (57', 72')
Armson (56')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm