National League North | Gameweek 4

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Silverlands

Buxton
1 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Smart (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matthews (80')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Curzon Ashton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Buxton

All competitions

Last Game: Warrington Town 1-0 Buxton
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Curzon Ashton

All competitions

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 King's Lynn
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Curzon Ashton
46.64% ( -0.11)	26.42% ( 0.37)	26.94% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 49.26% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.12% (

-1.54)

54.88% (

1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.83% (

-1.29)

76.17% (

1.29)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.71)

23.51% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46% (

-1.04)

57.54% (

1.05)

Curzon Ashton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.4% (

-1.03)

35.6% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63% (

-1.08)

72.37% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Buxton 46.63%

Curzon Ashton 26.94%

Draw 26.41%

Buxton	Draw	Curzon Ashton
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.72% Total : 46.63%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 2% Total : 26.94%