National League North Gameweek 12
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Dan Turner 8' goal
  • Dan Turner 15' goal
  • Danny Newton 25' goal
  • goal Rob Ramshaw 52'

Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Scunthorpe 1 - 0 Brackley Town
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Danny Newton

Spennymoor Town

All competitions
National League North
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Spennymoor 3 - 0 Rushall Olympic
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Will Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result

Brackley Town 41.92% (-6.91)
Draw 25.75% (+1.06)
Spennymoor Town 32.33% (+5.85)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.26% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.22% (-1.50)
Under 2.5 49.78% (+1.50)
Over 3.5 28.21% (-1.36)
Under 3.5 71.79% (+1.36)
Over 4.5 13.45% (-0.93)
Under 4.5 86.54% (+0.92)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.43% (-3.76)
Under 0.5 23.56% (+3.75)
Over 1.5 42.37% (-5.74)
Under 1.5 57.63% (+5.73)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.99% (+3.44)
Under 0.5 29.01% (-3.44)
Over 1.5 35.09% (+4.06)
Under 1.5 64.91% (-4.06)

Score analysis

Brackley Town 41.92%
Draw 25.74%
Spennymoor Town 32.33%
Brackley Town
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.52)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.65)
2-0 @ 7.14% (-1.29)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.86)
3-0 @ 3.44% (-1.11)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.25)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.54)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.60)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 41.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (+0.51)
0-0 @ 6.84% (+0.41)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.74%
Spennymoor Town
0-1 @ 8.46% (+1.23)
1-2 @ 7.57% (+0.98)
0-2 @ 5.24% (+1.17)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.65)
2-3 @ 2.26% (+0.26)
0-3 @ 2.16% (+0.64)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 32.33%

Head to Head

National League North Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Brewery Field
  • Joe Tait 45'+2' goal
  • goal Cosmos Matwasa 17'
National League North Gameweek 21
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT St. James' Park
  • Adam Rooney 57' goal
  • Callum Stead 80' goal
  • goal Thomas Allan 17'
National League North Gameweek 34
Mar 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jude Oyibo 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lee Ndlovu 9'
National League North Gameweek 9
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Lee Ndlovu 8' goal
  • Twariq Yusuf 65' goal
  • redcard Carl Magnay 90'
National League North Gameweek 25
Feb 27, 2021 3.00pm
National League North Gameweek 4
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Lowe 90' goal