Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 24.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Spennymoor Town win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Buxton	Draw	Spennymoor Town
49.92% ( 0.16)	25.22% ( 0.15)	24.85% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.32% (

-0.84)

51.68% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.54% (

-0.73)

73.45% (

0.72)

Buxton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.28% (

-0.27)

20.71% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.67% (

-0.42)

53.32% (

0.42)

Spennymoor Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.37% (

-0.73)

35.62% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.6% (

-0.75)

72.39% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Buxton 49.92%

Spennymoor Town 24.85%

Draw 25.22%

Buxton	Draw	Spennymoor Town
1-0 @ 11.61% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.57% Total : 49.92%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.22%	0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.85%