National League North | Gameweek 6
Aug 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Spencer Stadium

Banbury
0 - 3
Buxton

FT(HT: 0-3)
McCourt (13', 31' pen.), Burrow (42')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Banbury United and Buxton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-1 Banbury
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Buxton 3-0 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Banbury United had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Banbury United win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.

Result
Banbury UnitedDrawBuxton
32.54% (-0.14 -0.14)27.56% (0.084 0.08)39.9% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.286 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.05% (-0.343 -0.34)56.95% (0.347 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.275 -0.28)77.86% (0.28 0.28)
Banbury United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52% (-0.271 -0.27)32.48% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (-0.309 -0.31)69.01% (0.313 0.31)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.129 -0.13)27.91% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-0.165 -0.16)63.53% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Banbury United 32.54%
    Buxton 39.9%
    Draw 27.56%
Banbury UnitedDrawBuxton
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.119 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 39.9%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Banbury
1-3
Buxton
Iaciofano (90+5' pen.)
Elliott (5'), Ackroyd (39'), Clarke (45')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Buxton
0-4
Banbury
Babos (26'), Rasulo (45+4', 52'), Williams (77')