Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 22.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Blyth Spartans win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.