Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Blyth Spartans had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.