Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.41%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.