National League North
Gameweek
14
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-
Jordan Thewlis
65'
-
Jordan Thewlis
73'
-
Jake Day
89'
-
Alex Babos
54'
Alfreton Town vs Hereford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result
Alfreton Town
49.3%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
24.59%
▼
(-0.12)
Hereford United
26.12%
▲
(+0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
54.19%
▲
(+0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.89%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 2.5
48.11%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 3.5
29.73%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 3.5
70.27%
▼
(-0.60)
Over 4.5
14.49%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 4.5
85.52%
▼
(-0.41)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5
80.45%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 0.5
19.55%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
48.54%
▲
(+0.34)
Under 1.5
51.46%
▼
(-0.34)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5
67.35%
▲
(+0.54)
Under 0.5
32.65%
▼
(-0.54)
Over 1.5
30.81%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 1.5
69.2%
▼
(-0.60)
Score analysis
Alfreton Town
49.29%
Draw
24.58%
Hereford United
26.12%
Alfreton Town
1-0
@
10.41%
▼
(-0.23)
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.29%
2-1 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.66%
▼
(-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.58%
0-0 @ 6.38% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.58%
Hereford United
0-1
@
7.15%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 26.12%
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 26.12%